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Red Sox Sonoma
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FAIRFAX, CA
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My Turn at Armchair GM
November 2, 2008

Rest assured that Theo will be analyzing EVERY position player and EVERY pitcher with a fine tooth comb in regards to value to the team, as well as trade value.

WAKEFIELD & CASH~ Signing Wake for $4m gives the Sox a proven 5th or even 4th man in the rotation, while at the same time frees up umpteen bazillions for other needs. While Cash is no Papi at the plate, he does have adequate skills behind the dish. The experience he gains as Wake’s personal catcher will only serve to increase his trade value come the day Wake does retire. And if Charlie Zink stays hot in Pawtucket and shows up north, then the Sox in Beantown have a catcher who can handle the knuckleball.

LOWELL/TEXEIRA/PAPI/YOUK~ It’s tough to write about the players in this infield logjam separately as they are all so closely related in the evaluation of potential improvements.

Mike Lowell took a discount to stay in Boston when he could have easily left for more money elsewhere. He is the type of player you want in your clubhouse, in your line-up, and on your field. He’s another proven veteran. While he suffered some injuries in 2008, there is no reason to believe that he will not rebound after his surgery and have another good year. While he may not have a career year, expect him to earn every penny of his contract. He cares about the team, is well liked by teammates and fans alike, and gives everything he’s got. If Theo jettisons Lowell for Texeira, it will set a bad precedent. Exceptional players down the road would be less likely to sign with the Sox knowing that a heartless SOB GM will trade them anyhow. Texeira’s bat would of course be most welcomed in the line-up behind Papi, but at what cost? The bazillions he will most likely command? The ill will that could be fostered by trading quite capable and admirable players who happen to be over 32 years old?

Lowell being the professional that he is, I expect him to recuperate nicely and rehab himself into season ready condition come February. I expect Papi to rebound as well. While I don’t expect he’ll hit 54 HR’s again, a winter of rest for his wrist and knees will ready him for whacking 30-35 taters in 2009. While Youk is not Manny, he’s shown he is not to be taken lightly at the plate. Their Gold Glove work at 1B and 3B take away runs from other teams.

VARITEK~ I say keep him. Who would be his heir? Much has been made of his decline at the plate this year, but let’s not forget that as late as the end of May this past season, he was still hitting at a .295 average. It’s quite possible personal issues took its toll on his offense, and it’s quite possible he could rebound to hit .250 or better. His game calling skills make up for a BA less than stellar. Now when Boras demands an outrageous amount of money for the Captain (that would be anything more than $16m/2 years), then all bets are off. I hope ‘Tek realizes the monetary value and historical value to the game in his staying with Boston for the remainder of his career. Let’s not forget the deal Posada got and the year he had this past season at his age. Boras! Are you listening?

CORA~ I think it was Sparky Anderson who said he didn’t want guys on his bench who were happy to be role players. I disagree. There are guys out there who give 100% in that capacity, and Cora is one of them. He plays 3 positions well, hits .275, is a smart player, and is a bargain, taboot. I say keep him. Besides, he likes it in Boston.

CASEY & KOTSAY~ Who wouldn’t want Casey on his team? His clubhouse presence is a huge asset, he hits for average, and is quite adequate at first base. He could be a starter on many other teams, and may well pursue that route via free agency. He would be missed should he decide to find a full time job, but not irreplaceable. Much of the same could be said for Kotsay. He has proven his talent in the outfield and at first base and would make a fine candidate for a bench player, but I expect he will look for full time playing as well. Lars Anderson may not quite be ready for the big leagues this season (I wouldn’t be surprised if we see him in a couple of spots along the way, though), but Theo will find a quality back-up player should Casey and Kotsay both bolt.

BAY/DREW/ELLSBURY/CRISP~ As it turned out, this 4 man outfield seemed to work well in 2008. Jason Bay is not the HR machine Manny is, but his defense and professionalism added to his above average offensive skills make up for the loss of HR’s that Manny would produce. And we know Bay will be there every day.

Three outfield starts per game times 162 games divided by 4 outfielders gives each an average of over 120 starts. Injuries and slumps happen, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see Theo keep all 4, and then dangle Crisp next July, unless he’s needed to secure the elusive stud pitcher they should seek to offset the loss of Manny’s run production.

LOWRIE/LUGO~ Theo will find a way to unload Lugo, whether he has to eat some of his contract or not. Lowrie will be the starting SS, who can also spell 3B and 2B if needed. We now know the reason for Lowrie’s drop-off in the 2nd half, expect another rebound.

My projected starting day line-up:

CF- Ellsbury (L)
2B- Pedroia (R)
DH- Ortiz (L)
1B- Youkilis (R)
RF- Drew (L)
3B- Lowell (R)
LF- Bay (R)
C - Varitek (S)*
SS- Lowrie (S)

SP- Lester (L)

This is an elite defensive line-up. If they hit to the best of their abilities, offense will be no problem.
*If Boras doesn’t break the bank.

STARTING PITCHING
Lester, Dice-K, Beckett, Wakefield make up 4 of the 5 starters. Rather than stir up sh*&t in the infield by adding Texeira, which looks good as it is, find that last stud pitcher. Lowe? (How many elbow curls is he up to these days?) Sabathia? (Too fat?)  Peavey? (How much?) Byrd? (Good, but not that good.) Another Japanese hurler? Theo will find the right one. And once the injuries start up, you’ve got Bowden, Buchholz, Pauley, Zink, and Hansack waiting down in Pawtucket. Many have recently discounted the notion, but Schilling as a mid-season pick-up if necessary is not all that bad of an idea, if he’s well and not retired.

RELIEF PITCHING
What team doesn’t need help in this department? Papelbon, Masterson (who could also start), Okajima, Delcarmen, and Lopez look to return. Timlin should retire. Aardsma? His performance fell after returning from the DL, he could be gone. Theo needs to find two good arms for the ‘pen.

Except for Baltimore, expect another dog-fight in the AL East again. My heart says Boston wins, but what do I know? I'm only playing armchair GM.


-Red Sox Sonoma
 

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Comments

Well thought out. W'll see what happens. Definitely would like Mikey Lowell and Tek back.
11/02/2008 6:06 PM
~Joe Sox..
.
11/02/2008 6:06 PM
~Joe Sox..
Not sure what I can add, you summed it up pretty good and made compelling arguments. I don't think for Boston that Tiexiera is better than Youk. Our infield with a healthy Lowell is not in need of replacement. Another good starting pitcher with this existing team is a playoff team for sure. The bull pen came on strong later in the season and unfortunatley, I think it is time for Timlin to consider retirement. He did give his all for us and is a hell of a guy to boot. But like you said, what do I know? ...View More

11/02/2008 6:10 PM
33TEK.....
Nothing more, just forgot to rate it.
11/02/2008 6:11 PM
33TEK.....
Trading Mike Lowell because he took a paycut to play here will not set a bad precedent and keep players away from Boston. They come to Boston to play in the playoffs and a legit shot to win a World Series. Hitting in a small park like Fenway for a season also turns average mediocre hitters into sluggers. When Lowell hits the DL for 3 months for a recurring hip problem Red Sox Nation would be wishing the Sox got Teixeira. Teams pitch around Lowell when he's hot anyway. You can't pitch around Teixeira. ...View More

11/02/2008 6:11 PM
Chipster
I actually agree with all your points.
11/02/2008 6:27 PM
∞14/09..
I like almost everything I read...how'd you get so smart?
11/02/2008 6:28 PM
PEACE 14..
I did mean to keep Lowrie in that infield configuration, rather than Lugo.
11/02/2008 7:16 PM
33TEK.....
> how'd you get so smart? I read a lot of baseball books.
11/02/2008 8:15 PM
Red Sox ..
OK, so a 35 yo player is no spring chicken, but let’s face it: today’s players are in a helluva lot better physical condition than those of yesteryear. Joe DiMaggio used to light up Chesterfields with a cuppajoe in between every inning. Can you imagine the career he would’ve had if he had led a healthy lifestyle and kept to a strict diet and physical conditioning regimen?! A generation ago, 35 years of age would mark the end of most players careers. 35 yo today is no longer the automatic end of the line for those who have the desire, strength, and fortitude to work at and keep themselves in prime condition. 35 yo’s who have been taking care of themselves are well able to rehab themselves back into prime condition should they fall victim to an injury, including injuries requiring surgery. ...View More

11/02/2008 8:57 PM
Red Sox ..
nice try kid but leave this the pros
11/02/2008 8:59 PM
THE GM
Hey GM, how about justifying your down vote?
11/02/2008 9:13 PM
Red Sox ..
Not sure what the downvote is about. This was a wonderfully written, well thought out blog. An ablsolute pleasure to read!
11/02/2008 9:22 PM
PEACE 14..
Thank you.
11/02/2008 9:29 PM
Red Sox ..
Kid? Who are the pros? Certainly not the one blog pros. Dang, I said I would stay out of the bickering. Good blog,"kid".
11/02/2008 10:11 PM
33TEK.....
This Blog was such a pleasure to read.. Grammar,spelling and well thought out. I agree with most of it.
11/02/2008 10:18 PM
~~ Psych..
GREAT JOB! We seem to have a tough crowd in here! lol I am going back and forth on that precedent thing though. I think the "Mikey Lowells' of the future wouldn't buckle to pressure of any sort and would forge their own career path, if necessary, at a cost 'they' think is right. But then, I guess, you have young guys who are just coming up thru the system who this MAY affect. If I had to give a 'final answer', it would be 'no precedent'...(then I'd close my eyes real tight and hope I won the million..lol ...View More

11/02/2008 11:44 PM
Scoobs
Great blog, love your thought process. I hope we keep Lowell and V-Tek. I think we will add bullpen help and find someone to be a long term Tek replacement!!!! About Texeira, he is a great player but because he had an unreal playoff he is going to command way too much money. Boras is going to cleanout some poor team for this guy. Stay away Theo, please!!!
11/03/2008 1:41 PM
Rice HOF..
ok pretty good 1. yes retire timlin 2. i want tiexara and want him to play every day. Rest Papi some days rest Lowell some days (youk to 3rd) rest Youk some days this gives us a super #4 hitter 4. Get a pitcher that will be upgrade from Byrd..AJ well he does like the DL but he sure does know this division. 5. I worry about 140 game man DREW he so teases us with ability then is achy breaky...if the right trade came up .....sure 6. Tek love him but unless he commits to RIGHTY only...let him go oh well this jersey air is killing me to damn close to the bronx bums later.. ...View More

11/03/2008 1:59 PM
nj sox nj
WE INTERRUPT THE PRECEEDING ANNOUCEMENT TO BRING YOU AN 'UPVOTE' now, carry on with wha you all were saying....
11/03/2008 2:16 PM
Scoobs
Nice blog!
11/03/2008 2:19 PM
#1RedSox..
I agree with most of this. Great bLog!
11/03/2008 6:40 PM
Re-Sign ..
I still agree with it...Here's your upvote! Who needs pros when the amatuers are so good? (:
11/03/2008 6:41 PM
Re-Sign ..
After reading the other guy's blog.. I had to come back and upvote you again. You capitalize, spell, punctuate and use paragraphs. Now, tell me again.. Who is the Pro??
11/03/2008 7:14 PM
Re-Sign ..
im sorry i was cocky up vote
11/03/2008 10:42 PM
CRAIG FR..
Thanks to all for the kind remarks and up votes!
11/10/2008 1:49 PM
Red Sox ..

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